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2000 - 2030 Timeline for Advanced Driver Assistance System Deployment Activities
IVsource.net
30 March
2001

The following timeline was constructed based on presentations at the 4th annual meeting of the International Task Force on Vehicle-Highway Automation (see the related IVsource article from this past month), and other sources.  It is not to be considered comprehensive, but does contain a wealth of items that offer a "feel" for how things might roll out over the next few decades.  Additions/revisions to the timeline are welcome from readers.



Here's an IVsource forecast of what we might be seeing in the research, development, and deployment arena for  Advance Driver Assistance Systems over the next 30 years.

Individual articles on many of these activities can be found in the IVsource archives.

We've been tracking reports of progress and national-level planning through past meetings of the International Task Force on Vehicle-Highway Automation, as well as discussing corporate initiatives and priorities with a wide variety of private sector players.  These and other sources help paint the picture below.  Readers with specific questions related to any of this -- or with information on other related initiatives -- are encouraged to contact us at their convenience at editor@IVsource.net.

Pre-2000

  • Japan, Europe  --  Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC) available

  • Europe -- lane departure warning systems available as production options for heavy trucks

  • US -- night vision available on light vehicles

  • US -- establishment of IVI Infrastructure Consortium (focusing on vehicle-highway cooperation to improve safety)

  • UK -- Road Traffic Advisor implemented, providing road-vehicle communications

  • Netherlands -- Intelligent Speed Adaptation pilots initiated

  • NetherlandsParkShuttle automated people mover in service

  • Sweden -- Intelligent Speed Adaptation pilots initiated

  • UK -- Intelligent Speed Adaptation pilots initiated

  • Korea -- Intelligent Speed Adaptation pilots initiated

  • Japan – fully automated electric mini-cars available for “driving” by general public at Toyota and Honda amusement park sites

2000

  • US -- initial availability of ACC for light vehicles

  • US -- ACC available as a production option on heavy trucks from all domestic manufacturers

  • US -- lane departure warning systems available as production options for heavy trucks

  • Japan -- Demo 2000 (active safety systems evaluated on test tracks)

  • Japan -- Demo 2000 Cooperative Driving System demonstrations

  • Europe -- extensive vehicle demonstrations at ITS World Congress, Torino

  • Europe -- completion of RESPONSE  program (addressing vehicle automation, driver responsibility, legal/liability issues)

  • Netherlands -- Strategic Plan for Automated Vehicle Guidance defined and development of a research plan begins

  • Australia -- autonomous unmanned mine hauling trucks in operation

  • China -- plans, architecture, standards, and demonstration activities for ITS/AHS underway

  • US -- Las Vegas signs agreement for implementation of CiViS guided bus system.

  • US – Cooperative Vehicle-Highway Automation Systems (CVHAS) eleven-state pooled fund project grows out of The Phoenix Project

2001

  • Japan -- proving tests of Smart Cruise systems on actual roads

  • US -- Ten Year National ITS Program Plan published by USDOT

  • US -- National Advanced Driving Simulator begins operation

  • Japan -- Intelligent Multimode Transit System (automated platooned buses) begins operation

  • US -- final demonstration in military Demo III program for autonomous scout vehicles

  • US -- Arizona's Vision21 Task Force completes recommendations for transportation investments in Arizona over the next 20 years, which may include automated lanes on interstate highways

  • US -- FHWA program to address infrastructure-based sensors begins

  • Korea -- conclusion of Intelligent Speed Adaptation testing

  • China -- development of "whole sets" of ITS technology begins

2002

  • California -- Caltrans Demo 2002 shows automated truck convoys and bus "trains"

  • Japan -- various events towards advanced safety systems using vehicle-highway cooperation

  • Germany -- ADAS 1 database available from Navigation Technologies

  • Korea -- Next Generation Vehicle Project concludes (focused on vehicle-based collision avoidance, automatic control, information, and vehicle diagnostics)

  • Europe -- e-Europe 2002 goal for active safety systems in all vehicles

2003

  • Japan -- initial Smartway implementation complete on 2nd Tomei Expressway; cooperative vehicle-highway safety systems available to the public

  • Japan -- Smart Cruise Stage 1 deployment begins (ahs-i, or the 'infrastructure provision period')

  • US --  ADAS 1 database available from Navigation Technologies

  • US -- Evaluation of General Motors Rear-end Crash Warning System complete for joint NHTSA-GM ACAS project

  • US -- Evaluations complete for Freightliner, Mack, and Volvo IVI Field Operational Tests

  • Netherlands -- large scale trials begin for Automated Vehicle Guidance program

  • Netherlands -- Second generation trial for Intelligent Speed Adaptation begins

  • Netherlands -- Electronically-guided bus system begins operations

  • Korea -- New Millennium Vehicle Project begins

2005

  • California -- Caltrans-sponsored automated light vehicles demonstration

  • Netherlands -- plan for Automated Vehicle Guidance complete

  • Korea -- first stage ITS implementation complete (vehicle-based warning services and initial/partial automatic driving)

  • Japan -- Smart Cruise Stage 2 deployment (Road-Vehicle Coordination period) begins (ahs-i and ahs-c)

2006

  • Korea -- second stage ITS implementation begins (autonomous and cooperative control services for crash avoidance, and longitudinal/lateral control services for automation)

2007

  • Japan -- Smart Cruise Stage 3 deployment (full-scale AHS) begins (ahs-c and ahs-a) begins

2008

  • California -- vehicle-highway automation pilot envisioned

  • France -- Estimated availability date for Low Speed Automation to be available to the public

2010

  • California -- Caltrans provides initial availability of vehicle-highway automation systems in some form

  • California --  automated managed lanes for Interstate 15 in San Diego complete

  • US -- 'stretch goal:'  10% of new light vehicles sold are equipped with IVI systems

  • US -- 'stretch goal:'  25% of commercial vehicles sold are equipped with IVI systems

  • US -- 'stretch goal:'  25 metropolitan areas have deployed the infrastructure portion of cooperative intersection collision avoidance systems

  • US -- possible target for deployment of intersection collision avoidance

  • Korea -- second stage ITS implementation complete (autonomous and cooperative control services for crash avoidance, and longitudinal/lateral control services for automation)

  • China -- development of "whole sets" of ITS technology complete

  • Japan -- approximate timeframe for automated vehicle operation on dedicated roads

2011

  • Korea -- introduction of automatic driving services for improved road capacity and safety

2015

  • Japan -- Smart Cruise deployment complete (information, warning, and control systems for optimal safety become widely available)

  • Japan -- feasibility study of automated cruise on specific routes complete

2020

  • Korea -- implementation of automatic driving services complete

2030

  • UK -- Automated car/truck lanes (with managed access, centralized control) implemented for major motorways in a "Strategic Road Network," per Vision 2030

  • France -- Phase IV Route Automatisée implementation likely complete (automated highway network; centralized network control allows higher safety and capacity)

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